Predictions

Dear Readers,

The challenge has been made, and Your Gilbert rises to meet it!

Seth Grimes, candidate for Mayor in the 2005 elections has posed a contest – pedictions for tomorrow’s election.
He asks,

What percentages do you see in Ward 3 for —
– Bridget Bowers
– Dan Robinson
How many votes will be cast for mayor city-wide?
What percentage of the mayoral vote will go to Bruce Williams?
How many voters will there be by Ward?
1: 2: 3: 4: 5: 6:
Your score = the sum of the differences between each actual result and your guess, multiplied by 10 for the percentages. Low score wins.

Here’s how Your Gilbert calls it:
Bridget Bowers: around 25-30%
Dan Robinson:around 70-75%
Votes cast for mayor: 1050
Mayor
Bruce Williams: 1000
write-ins: 50
That’s, what, 99% for Bruce Williams?
Ward 1
Josh Wright: 180
write-ins: 2
Ward 2.
Colleen Clay: 150
write-ins: 8
Ward 3
Dan Robinson: 370
Bridget Bowers: 150
write-ins: 15
Ward 4
Terry Seamens: 60
write-ins: 2
Ward 5
Rubin Snipper: 40
write-ins: 1
Ward 6
Doug Barry: 100 votes
write-ins: 2
–Gilbert.

About the Author

Gilbert
Gilbert is the pseudonym of a hard-bitten, hard-drinking, long-time Takoma Park resident who maintains the granolapark blog. Gilbert and William L. Brown — Granola Park's mild-mannered chief of staff, researcher, and drink pourer — have never been seen in the same place at the same time.

3 Comments on "Predictions"

  1. Terry Seamens | November 5, 2007 at 11:32 pm |

    What percentages do you see in Ward 3 for —
    – Bridget Bowers 18%
    – Dan Robinson 77%
    How many votes will be cast for mayor city-wide? 1576
    What percentage of the mayoral vote will go to Bruce Williams? 92
    How many voters will there be by Ward?
    1: 553
    2: 425
    3: 458
    4: 92
    5: 78
    6: 106
    Since I haven’t seen any quesses, I’ve just listed a bunch of numbers. What’s
    the prize?
    Terry
    Ritchie

  2. There will be 8 votes, one for each of the candidates!

  3. Tom Gagliardo | November 7, 2007 at 10:55 am |

    Now that Gilbert’s in the race, here are my predictions:
    828 votes for Mayor Williams
    827 for Gilbert
    1 for Hugo Chavez
    254 for Mr. Right
    137 for Ms. Clay
    234 for Mr. Robinson
    112 for Ms. Bowers
    116 for Mr. Seamens
    50 for Mr. Snipper
    45 for Mr. Barry
    Again, I would note that the combined votes in Wards 4, 5 and 6 are less than the vote in Ward 1 alone or Ward 3 alone. You can’t be elected mayor unless you can win that part of town.

Comments are closed.